Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1245.459702 1423.730005 1624.843796 1869.784948 2161.723494 2500.616787 2926.817710
2025-06-15 989.064487 1221.436605 1510.212942 1900.654093 2422.852404 3108.998353 4098.955527
2025-06-22 824.716863 1065.562535 1382.578766 1839.559095 2497.064978 3434.301403 4920.125666
2025-06-29 710.994813 951.552571 1282.851907 1785.677454 2553.988345 3727.218368 5746.609958
2025-07-06 622.364061 856.882218 1191.955904 1722.628540 2575.613982 3957.696002 6516.323247
2025-07-13 584.771553 828.514360 1190.050478 1788.417431 2802.916232 4554.972354 8070.702885
2025-07-20 543.261262 788.486505 1163.956753 1809.407881 2956.093662 5052.727840 9583.496600
2025-07-27 511.674560 759.510771 1150.449387 1847.161181 3142.053842 5646.505530 11479.631555
2025-08-03 482.356341 730.624177 1132.958724 1874.101408 3310.721463 6241.508058 13584.693517
2025-08-10 463.051445 715.670632 1136.290920 1937.582221 3559.530089 7058.873992 16544.591240
2025-08-17 439.819618 691.736916 1121.193837 1963.879835 3736.881297 7761.909275 19505.263924
2025-08-24 416.785242 665.915243 1099.796681 1974.548426 3882.256738 8426.213049 22661.692636
2025-08-31 391.987913 635.972727 1069.872853 1968.391867 3999.519755 9079.562659 26220.894182
2025-09-07 375.696772 619.847539 1064.137742 2011.921250 4242.643923 10142.717353 31870.027670
2025-09-14 347.790011 580.252613 1009.832242 1944.811642 4206.920381 10426.845925 34804.868754
2025-09-21 323.808029 546.016711 962.726361 1887.371754 4185.168058 10749.121853 38138.639377
2025-09-28 301.014935 512.332391 913.768594 1819.863165 4125.980568 10944.866747 41090.650540
2025-10-05 294.535247 508.925081 924.842356 1890.272702 4446.600851 12457.154259 51594.497143
2025-10-12 283.739190 496.340626 915.946819 1912.743255 4641.019787 13624.128291 61552.103643
2025-10-19 275.357575 487.801521 914.600622 1953.170808 4896.548508 15114.891624 75202.175291
2025-10-26 266.514698 477.664114 908.882850 1982.027224 5125.043381 16605.788624 90963.031777
2025-11-02 261.375538 474.573805 918.054281 2050.049250 5492.379113 18833.647186 115933.816416
2025-11-09 253.406963 465.097600 912.251302 2078.238611 5739.253294 20676.374065 141446.978921